We predicted gaming’s 2024 last December. Here’s what we got right (and wrong)
It’s my favorite time of the year at Digital Trends. Every time a year ends, I like play prognosticator and predict what’s going to happen in video games the following year. I’ve run this series for the past few years and I often find that my guesses are spot-on come December. That’s always a rewarding moment as I reflect on a long 12 months. On the flip side, sometimes I’m so embarrassingly wrong that I get a good laugh to end the year.
This year, it’s the latter.
Recommended VideosBack in January, I made four predictions for 2024 in gaming. They were bold guesses about where Sony, Microsoft, and Nintendo would be by the end of the year — and many of them were laughably wrong. To keep myself honest, I’ve analyzed those predictions here and broken down where exactly I was off (and what I was technically correct about, too). If anything, I hope this teaches readers a valuable lesson: The video game industry is very volatile. While it may seem predictable at times, left-field announcements or surprise hits can change a year on a dime. That’s exactly what went down in 2024.
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The big game cycle slows way down
The prediction: While 2023 was an enormous year for major franchises, 2024 would see a significant slowdown for big-budget games. There was good reason to think that at the time. We had just gotten a barrage of major releases that had been hyped for years, from The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom to Starfield. With Grand Theft Auto 6 and Monster
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