With Nintendo having recently unveiled the Switch 2 with an announcement video, one of the biggest questions that the industry wants the answers to is how well the console will do on release, especially since the original Switch was such a massive hit. According to IGN, a number of analysts have spoken about the Nintendo Switch 2’s potential success, including NYU Stern’s Joost van Dreunen and Circana’s Mat Piscatella.
The overarching theme of the analysts’ predictions is that, while the Switch 2 will no doubt be incredibly popular and will likely sell quite a few units quickly, the success of the console might not reach the heights of its predecessor so early.
In a statement, van Dreunen points out that, with the Switch 2, Nintendo is once again leaving behind technical specifications to instead focus on its own releases to propel its consoles. He also points out that the new design of the console will likely help in bring in a wider audience as well.
“Nintendo’s approach to differentiation appears carefully calibrated to maintain platform continuity while delivering meaningful improvements,” said van Dreunen. “Technical specifications may matter less than Nintendo’s proven ability to create compelling software experiences. The original Switch demonstrated that revolutionary gameplay innovation often emerges from creative software design rather than raw hardware capability. I expect the new design to appeal especially well to the first 25 million early adopters eager to upgrade.”
Piscatella talks about that the Switch 2 being a bigger and more powerful console than its predecessor will help attract an audience, but reaching a new audience for Nintendo might still prove challenging. He points out that the original Switch was a massive success thanks in large part to the circumstances surrounding its launch, and the uniqueness of the hardware itself.
“The challenge is that the Switch has been a breakout success,” explains Piscatella. “It is an outlier is many ways,
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