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The AI hedgehog day (pun intended) is upon us, for the fate of the market's ongoing bull run hinges on NVIDIA producing another stellar guidance out of its repertoire of market-pleasing announcements today.
NVIDIA is gearing up to announce its earnings for the first quarter of its fiscal year 2025 later today.
Analysts expect NVIDIA to report $24.69 billion in revenue for the quarter, translating into an EPS of $5.65.
On a more granular level, NVIDIA's AI-critical data center segment is expected to do most of the proverbial heavy lifting, with top-line expectations currently pegged at $21 billion, and constituting a massive surge from $4.28 billion in revenue that the segment earned in last year's comparable quarter.
In contrast, NVIDIA's gaming segment is expected to witness a more modest year-on-year growth, with analysts pegging their revenue estimates at $3.5 billion vs. the $2.24 billion that the company earned in last year's comparable quarter.
Of course, the fate of NVIDIA's ongoing bullish mania currently rests on the magnitude of the upbeat guidance that the company can provide later today. Given the friction involved in ramping up the production of its latest Blackwell chips, some analysts expect NVIDIA to hit an air pocket of sorts, where customers withhold orders for the current production-ready lineup of GPUs in anticipation of getting their hands on the much more efficient Blackwell chips later on.
Finally, as implied by an at-the-money straddle, the market is currently pricing in a 8.7 percent (positive or negative) move in NVIDIA shares in the post-earnings phase. This equates to a swing of around $200 billion, which exceeds the market capitalization of roughly 90 percent of
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