The $25,000 level for Bitcoin is emerging as a key technical hurdle for the token's partial bounce from last year's crypto rout.
Bitcoin scaled that level on Feb. 16 for the first time since August but has struggled to stay above it. The largest digital coin advanced 2% on Monday to fluctuate just around the $25,000 mark.
The token's strong new year performance appears to be partly driven by the idea that the worst of monetary tightening is over. Some investors have also taken succor from the view that the Federal Reserve can quell inflation without triggering a US recession, which has boosted risk assets from equities to crypto.
“With the market swapping the ‘hard landing' narrative of the fourth quarter last year to one of ‘no landing' in the first quarter of 2023, speculative assets have been well supported, including Bitcoin,” Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG Australia Pty, wrote in a note.
At the same time, skeptics contend US economic resilience will just end up with higher-for-longer borrowing costs that will undo the sanguine mood. The crypto sector also faces a US crackdown after the collapse of the FTX exchange.
The bull-bear tussle for now is being fought out around $25,000 for Bitcoin.
“Whether it can break above $25,000 soon or not should be very important,” Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak + Co., wrote in a note. “The next week or two should be critical for Bitcoin and other cryptos.”
Here are three charts analyzing that theme:
Candlestick Pattern
Bitcoin traced a series of so-called doji candles in recent days. These represent trading sessions where the token posts about the same opening and closing price despite swinging through the day. Some chart analysts view this as signifying indecision
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