Brendan Sinclair
Managing Editor
Wednesday 5th January 2022
Every year, we turn to a panel of trusted analysts to ask them what they see coming down the road, and ask them to assess their predictions from the previous year.
As with last year, our panel hit more often than they missed in 2021, though a few guesses were significantly off the mark. For 2022, we brought up possible areas to make predictions about -- supply chain issues, mobile platforms opening up, blockchain gaming/NFTS -- but left it up to our industry watchers to determine what they wanted to go on record about.
Thanks as always to our panelists -- Kantan Games' Dr. Serkan Toto, Ampere Analysis' Piers Harding-Rolls, The NPD Group's Mat Piscatella, and VoxPop founder Stephanie Llamas -- for being willing to share their thoughts on the future and to revisit their previous predictions even when they weren't quite spot on.
Last Year's Predictions
● Console market including hardware sales to grow once again - Right. We won't know the year total for a few weeks, but even taking into account potential adjustments the console market will have grown again.
● Switch will be the best-selling console in 2021 and sales to consumers to be around 24 million - Right. Our end of year forecast is currently a little higher than that, but close.
● An updated Switch likely to be launched in 2021 - Right.
● PS5 and Xbox Series X|S to sell around 25 million combined in 2021 - The continued component supply chain issues means that this is likely to end up too ambitious. Our current forecast is 2 million shy of that.
● PS5 to outsell Xbox Series X|S in 2021 - Right.
● No global level cloud gaming service reveal in 2021 - Right.
● Proliferation of telco-based cloud gaming services in 2021 -
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